Service Plays Sunday 7/11/10

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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Wandy Rodriguez (6-10, 5.00 ERA), Houston Astros

This 31-year-old lefty is starting to pitch the way he did in his career season a year ago. Rodriguez, like the rest of his Houston teammates, did not get off to the best start and his numbers are still pretty ugly.

But over his last three starts, the southpaw hurler is 3-0 with a 0.90 ERA with 19 strikeouts to just four walks. This quality pitching seemed to come from nowhere. Rodriguez had allowed 14 runs in his last two starts before he turned it around.

C.J. Wilson (7-4, 3.24 ERA), Texas Rangers

You could make the case that this former closer was the Rangers’ staff ace before Texas acquired Cliff Lee. Wilson is having no trouble with the transition from the bullpen to the rotation. He’s riding a six-game stretch where he’s allowed two runs or less in each start.

The Rangers, not surprisingly, are 6-1 in Wilson’s last seven trips to the bump.


Slumping

Cole Hamels (6-7, 4.05 ERA), Philadelphia Phillies

This former World Series MVP really hasn’t been pitching that bad lately. It just seems like his team is destined to lose every time Hamels takes the mound. Philly is 1-5 in the lefty’s last six starts even though he sports a respectable 4.02 ERA over the stretch.

The Phillies average 4.8 runs per game this season but have given Hamels three or fewer runs in six of his last eight outings.

Jeff Francis (2-3, 5.12 ERA), Colorado Rockies

This Canadian left-hander has not been enjoying the 2010 campaign. It got off to a bad start when he had to sit out the first two months because of an injury and it hasn’t got much better since he returned to action.

Francis has allowed 13 runs in the last seven innings he’s tossed and the over is 4-1 in his last five starts.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays (+120, 9.5)

Toronto catcher John Buck got a glimpse of Jose Bautista’s potential six years ago. The two played with each other for a month on Kansas City’s roster before Bautista was dealt to the Mets.

"For some reason, they let him go," Buck said about the Royals trading Bautista in 2004. "I remember talking with Tony Pena – he was the Royals' manager at the time – and he was, like, 'We shouldn't have let that kid go. He's going to be really good.'

"I said, 'Yeah, what were we doing? That kid is going to be awesome,” Buck concluded.

Bautista blasted his major league-leading 24th home run Saturday but wasn’t invited to participate in the Home Run Derby at his first All-Star Game. While Bautista won’t be teeing off on batting practice pitching Tuesday one thing is for certain – this Blue Jays club is going to swing for the fences night in and night out.

Toronto leads MLB in long balls with 132 – 16 more than the Red Sox in second place. The Jays connected for three homers Saturday and have 10 in their last three games. The OVER is 6-0-1 in Toronto’s last seven games and the team has hit 20 jacks during that stretch.

With two pitchers with ERAs of 4.70 or higher on the bump Sunday, these two powerful offenses are licking their chops. Look for a barrage of runs in the series finale.

Pick: Over


Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox

It seems like just a few weeks ago we were talking about how the South Siders had completely turned the season around after it looked like hell had broken loose inside the clubhouse.

Oh wait, that was just a few weeks ago that Chicago strung together an 11-game win streak and was victorious in 15-of-16 contests. And now it’s déjà vu all over again.

The White Sox came into Saturday rolling along on a six-game streak while winning 23 of their past 28 ballgames. Chicago earned backers 19.93 units in that timeframe.

"I think if we would have said we were going to win that quick and be back in it as quick as we did, I don't think anybody would have believed us. We're starting to believe it,” Mark Buehrle said. "I think everybody knows the way we're playing, everybody is having fun right now.”

Chicago trails Detroit by just a half-game in the AL Central standings. Even with Zack Greinke on the mound Sunday, there isn’t any way the Royals can slow Chicago’s momentum heading into the break.

Pick: White Sox

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sunday Night Baseball: Cubs at Dodgers

Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers (-140, 8)

The final game before the 2010 MLB All-Star game takes place Sunday night at Chavez Ravine where the Dodgers host the Cubs. Let’s see how this game shapes up.

Furcal en fuego

After going 3-for-3 in the Thursday night series opener against the Cubs, shortstop Rafael Furcal was hitting .429 with a 1.201 slugging percentage since returning from his bereavement leave on June 23.

Furcal, who lost his father in a tragic equine accident, was named NL Player of the Week and is enjoying a career year. He was extremely close to his dad and is dedicating the rest of the season in his honor.

After the leadoff man’s 12-game streak of scoring a run - the longest since the Dodgers moved to Los Angeles - and 10-game hit streak ended Wednesday, he bounced right back with the big performance Thursday.

"He's made such a big difference in our ballclub," said Los Angeles manager Joe Torre.

Man power shortage

Dodgers slugger Manny Ramirez went on the 15-day disabled list retroactive to June 30 with a strained right hamstring. He is scheduled to begin a rehab assignment with Class-A Inland Empire on July 10.

Barring a setback, Ramirez will likely be activated from the disabled list when he's eligible July 15, the day the Dodgers return from the All-Star break.

"To me, there's no reason to gamble. We already had lost him for six games. For the tradeoff of having him as a pinch-hitter, I thought this was safer. When the second half starts, we won't have time to nurse him," said Torre.

Clearing house

Several baseball sources have confirmed that the Cubs are ramping up their efforts in the trade market to start clearing the books of unwieldy salaries.

The problem is, who wants what the Cubs are selling?

• A sore-armed spot starter/middle reliever with more than $30 million left on his contract and a reputation as a hothead (Carlos Zambrano).

• A broken-down corner infielder due $14.6 million next season, hitting .204 with nine homers and 30 RBIs (Aramis Ramirez).

• A former All-Star first baseman who has only what's left on his $13 million contract for this season, but is hitting .230 with 10 home runs and 36 RBIs (Derrek Lee).

• A .276 hitting outfielder with 15 homers and 43 RBIs, but a major liability in any defensive position that is under contract through 2014 at $18 million per year - with a full no-trade clause (Alfonso Soriano).

"It has been very difficult for the family and the team the first half of the season," Cubs chairman Tom Ricketts told season ticket holders Thursday at Wrigley Field. "This is not where the family wanted to be in the first half of the season.”

Arms race

Chicago right-hander Carlos Silva worked 6.0 innings in his last start, snapping a four-game, team start loss skid in a 6-4 win at Arizona.

Silva left after experiencing some pain behind his knee. He has had various aches and pains for most of the season but has been able to pitch through them for the most part.

The Cubs are 11-5 in Silva’s 16 starts this season, including 5-2 on the road.

Silva, 2-5 in his last seven-team starts during July, is 2-0 with a 3.21 ERA in his career starts against the Dodgers.

After a rugged 1-5 effort in his first six-team starts for the Dodgers this season, veteran right-hander Vicente Padilla is 2-0 in his last two outings.

Padilla has been in commanding strikeout-walk ratio with 33 strikeouts and three walks in his last five starts. He has cashed in four of six-career team starts against the Cubs.

Parting thought

The Dodgers have ruled this series of late, going 12-6 the last 18 games entering the weekend, including 5-1 at home.

Chicago had won 14 of its previous17 road games in July prior to its series opening defeat to the Dodgers Thursday night.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL DUNKEL

SUNDAY, JULY 11

Game 407-408: Montreal at Edmonton (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 114.323; Edmonton 111.249
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 3; 55
Vegas Line: Montreal by 5 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+5 1/2); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Canadian Bacon: Week 2 Analysis and Picks

Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Eskimos (+5.5, 53)

Ricky Ray must play better in Week 2 if the Eskimos have a chance to win against a Montreal team that can and will put lots of points. Ray will have a chance to redeem himself.

Montreal’s stop unit showed some serious weaknesses since the departure to B.C. of DT Kerone Williams and CB Davis Sanchez, along with the injuries to LB Diamond Ferri and CB Mark Estelle.

The Alouettes have been hit by a scorching heat wave in Montreal this week that could have affected some players and certainly did change the pace of practices. Many players complained of heat and fatigue in the second half of their season opener in Regina.

Even if Ray connects at will with Fred Stamps and Kelly Campbell, and Calvin McCarthy runs the ball at will, the Eskimos D will need to prevent Calvillo’s bombing squad to do as they please on the field.

The Alouettes will try to take advantage of rookie safety Saleem Borhot (replacing Jason Nugent out with a hamstring injury) who will make his first career start on Sunday.

Although they lost to B.C. in Week 1, Edmonton’s defense limited the Lions to a single touchdown and forced them to score six field goals.

Pick: Edmonton

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher

COL (-130) over SD

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SOCCER NEWS AND NOTES
World Cup Final: What Bettors Need To Know

Odds: Spain (-175), Netherlands (+164), regulation time draw (+236); Over/under (2)

Four years is a long time to wait but, it’s finally here. The big one: the World Cup final. And by all indications, it should be a cracker.

Spain entered the tournament as favorites and, after an early wobble against Switzerland, have grown in stature and go into the final close to their devastating peak.

The Netherlands meanwhile, in the their first World Cup final since 1978, are giddy at the prospect of continuing their 25-game unbeaten run. If they can get one over the European champions, they’ll certainly deserve their moment. Either way, by Sunday evening, we’ll have a first-time World Champion.

Match Strategy

It’s never nice to see a player suspended for the final and thankfully no one will be following in the footsteps of Michael Ballack (Germany, 2002) or Laurent Blanc (France, 1998) in missing the big one.

Both teams are at full strength and Netherlands welcome back midfielder Nigel De Jong and full-back Gregory van der Wiel – who were both suspended for the semi-final win over Uruguay.

Spain coach Vicente Del Bosque’s only major concern is over Fernando Torres, who came into the tournament having undergone surgery just weeks before. The Liverpool player initially struggled for match fitness but now appears to be suffering from a loss of confidence, with Del Bosque deciding to choose Barcelona’s Pedro ahead of Torres to start in the win over Germany.

Del Bosque will probably start with Pedro again but Cesc Fabregas is also an option.

Spain are finally beginning to peak at the right time and, given the way they disarmed a potent young Germany side in the semi-final indicates that Spain will take some beating.

Netherlands have gone about their business in this tournament in a professional manner, just doing enough to beat the teams in front of them. But when one of those teams are Brazil, they have to be taken very seriously.

Wesley Sneijder stands on the brink of an unprecedented quadruple of the Italian League, Italian Cup, Champions League and World Cup. However, the key to Holland’s success lies not in the undoubted ability of their playmaker Sneijder, but in the effectiveness of their ‘doormen’ Nigel De Jong and Mark van Bommel.

The defensive midfielders have been an outstanding double act throughout the tournament and in the semi-final, the first game in which the pair were separated (due to De Jong’s suspension) they let in more than one goal for the first time. With these two enforcers in place and on song, the Dutch stand a great chance.
The performances of Arjen Robben and Robin van Persie are, needless to say, also crucial.

Interestingly though, Dutch legend and former Barcelona player and manager Johan Cruyff backs Spain for a win over his homeland.

"Spain is now the great favourite," he wrote in El Periodico de Catalunya on Thursday. "Del Bosque's team has grown in strength and finds itself in the final at the top of its game. Yesterday evening Germany, which put on a display against Argentina, played football which would have been enough to beat any team but not Spain.

"Spain, a replica of Barca, is the best publicity for football. Who am I supporting? I am Dutch but I support the football that Spain is playing."

Players To Watch

Netherlands – Arjen Robben

Robben is one of the greatest players in the modern game and it is fitting that, given all his injury woes in recent years, he is fit and ready to show the Spanish possibly the only thing they’re missing – a world-class winger. Robben is Holland’s dangerman and the player Spain will fear most. He is certain to swap the right wing for the left at some stage terrorize both Sergio Ramos and Joan Capdevila in equal measure. You can be sure that if Holland score, Robben will be involved.

Spain – Andres Iniesta

Iniesta has had a magnificent tournament and has the same devastating effect from attacking midfield for Spain as he does for Barcelona. His immaculate control, tremendous vision and pinpoint accuracy mark him out as the architect of all that is great about Spain. Once again, if Spain score you can guarantee Iniesta will not be far away.

Weather

Another chilly night is forecast in Johannesburg, but it is due to remain clear and free of rain for the tournament finale at Soccer City.

Stat Attack

Let’s get this out of the way. Paul the Octopus, the creature with the midas touch, has chosen Spain. He has a 100 percent record so far but this is the first time he’s predicted the result of a game that hasn’t featured Germany. Is that a sign? Probably not.

Spain have averaged 617 passes per game at the 2010 World Cup, the second best ratio behind Colombia who averaged 653 in 1994.

Players with the squad number 9 have scored more goals at the 2010 World Cup than any other - van Persie vs Torres?

The Soccer City Stadium in Johannesburg is the most prolific venue of the 2010 World Cup with 2.86 goals per game.

Only one of Netherlands’ six World Cup games has been played at altitude, while Spain has played three. Soccer City is 5751 feet above sea level.

Spain midfielder Xavi has touched the ball every 46 seconds on average at the World Cup so far; more frequently than any other player.

World Cup final referee Howard Webb averages fewer fouls per card (5.7) shown than any other referee who has done three games at the 2010. But he is yet to award a penalty or show a red card...

 

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PICKS FOR KICKS

Sunday’s Best World Cup Bet

Netherlands vs Spain

It seems like the oddsmakers think there’s a good chance this game will come down to penalties. The over/under goal total (2) and the payout for a draw in regulation (+237) suggests smart people see this game as being a low-scoring final.

There’s no denying Spain have looked better with each match at the 2010 World Cup. Whatever lapses they’ve had finishing, they’ve more than made up for with defensive stability.

The Dutch are talking like they are going to push and go after the ball. Netherlands forward Dirk Kuyt suggested that the Germans were done in by playing overly conservative against the Euro champs.

Like any soccer match, the outcome of this one will depend on the first goal – not which side scores it by when the first marker comes.

We think it’ll come in the first half, which leaves plenty of time for either side’s talented group of forwards to make up the difference.

Pick: Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL NEWS AND NOTES
CFL Football Betting: An Introduction

The Canadian Football League (CFL) season starts tonight, and that gives us another option on the sports betting menu. Personally, I’ve always found the CFL a very profitable wagering opportunity but many fans–particularly in the US–aren’t very familiar with it. In this article we’ll talk about a few of the differences between CFL football and its NFL counterpart, and discuss a few basic betting concepts. We’ll expand on many of these as the season progresses as well as giving you Bonus Betting picks on the individual games.

CFL Football–The Basics:

Let’s start with the differences between CFL football and the US version of the game. For one thing, the ball used in the CFL is bigger than the NFL football. It’s slightly longer and fatter than the NFL football, and looks more like a rugby ball than anything else. The CFL field is longer (110 yards) and wider (65 yards compared to the NFL’s 53.5 yards), and the CFL end zones are deeper (20 yards). The CFL goal posts are on the goal line, while the NFL’s are at the back of the endzone.

The CFL game is played with 12 players on the field, with the extra player a receiver on offense and a defense back on defense. The CFL game gives teams 3 downs to move the ball ten yards as opposed to four (meaning you’ll hear that teams went ‘two and out’ as opposed to ‘three and out’). There are a few other subtle rule differences, but these are the biggest.

The Single:

There’s also one significant scoring difference–a team is awarded a single point for a missed field goal or a punt that lands in the end zone. This will occasionally produce scores that cause NFL fans to do a double take (its strange the first time you see a CFL game tied at 1-1). While it may seem that this point–known as ‘the single’ would wreak havoc with handicapping it doesn’t really impact the outcome of betting as often as you’d think. I actually can’t recall an experience where the outcome of a bet was determined by a ’single’ in over 10 years of handicapping Canadian football.

Canadian Player Quotas:

One of the more significant rules is enforced not on the field, but in the front office–teams are required to have a certain number of Canadian players on the roster. The CFL tweaks this number from time to time, but currently 19 of the 40 players on a roster must be Canadian born. The reason for this rule is to prevent the CFL from becoming purely a developmental league for aspiring NFL players and to help it retain its uniquely Canadian identity.

For the handicapper, the result is a greater amount of parity. College football in Canada isn’t played on the same level as in the US, so the talent pool that CFL teams can draw from to fulfill the Canadian player quota simply isn’t as deep. And while there’s been a number of US born players that have solid careers up north, for the most part they’re those who aren’t quite at the NFL level in terms of size or skill.

Those are the basic differences between the CFL brand of football and that played in the NFL. At the end of the day, however, its still football and a CFL bettor approaches handicapping in much the same way. In the next installment of this series we’ll look at some general handicapping concepts that have proven successful over time.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BETTOR'S TIPS AND NOTES
Bettor's Best Friend (BBF): Sunday's Wagering Tips

Lines To Keep An Eye On

Braves at Mets – The home squad opened as a -150 favorite but a few markets have dropped that moneyline to -135.

Indians at Rays – Tampa surfaced as a -245 favorite in this contest but some shops have moved the number to -230.

Cubs at Dodgers – The total for this game has jumped to 8 after opening at 7.5.

Weather Report
(Forecasts are extracted from Weather.com the night before the game.)

Royals at White Sox – The National Weather Service projects a 13 mph wind to blow out to center field.

Who’s Hot

Atlanta is 7-2 in its last nine games.

The home team has won the last five games in the Montreal-Edmonton series (CFL).

Arizona has played to the OVER in 11 of its last 12 home games.

Who’s Not

Minnesota is 1-6 in its last seven contests.

The UNDER is 7-0-3 in Pittsburgh’s last 10 road games.

New York (WNBA) has played to four consecutive UNDERS.

Key Stat

10-5 – Over/under mark last season for MLB teams on the last day of play before the All-Star break.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Orioles catcher Matt Wieters injured himself rounding second base in the fifth inning of Friday’s game. He hit second base awkwardly and limped to third, immediately leaving the game afterwards. The Baltimore Sun reports the injury as a right hamstring strain and he will be re-evaluated Saturday. The injury is to the same hamstring that caused the catcher to miss Thursday's game. Wieters is hitting .245 with six home runs and 29 RBIs this season.

Game Of The Day

Netherlands vs. Spain

Notable Quotable

"Dude, we're getting Cliff Lee. Cliff Lee!"
-- Rangers mild-mannered third baseman Michael Young told teammate Ian Kinsler upon learning the news of the acquisition of the lefty Friday.

Tips And Notes

- Spain has been a ball-hogging team throughout the World Cup. They’ve only given up two goals during the tournament and only one of the team’s six matches went OVER the posted total. Analysts and oddsmakers expect the final match to be a midfield battle and the total is set at 2. Spain has won its last four matches by one goal so they will be in a keep away mode should they get up on the Netherlands at any point in the game Sunday.

- Mets starting pitcher Mike Pelfrey is dealing with a dead arm. Before Saturday’s start Pelfrey said, “Every year, you just go through a little period where you don’t feel like the ball is coming out of your hand like it has that extra life on it.” Pelfrey was tagged for 12 hits and four earned runs in 4.0 innings of work in Saturday’s game against the Braves and bettors should be wary of backing him after the All-Star break.

- On the final day of baseball before the All-Star break, bettors really need to monitor lineups before placing a wager. Overnight betting lines are ill-advised because managers could end up giving players an extra day of rest going into the break. There are seven pitchers with fewer than five starts going Sunday and three of those guys will be making their first appearance of 2010. Additional starters and position players could be scratched so confirming lineups before making a bet is essential for hardball bettors looking for action on the final day of the first half.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTSLOTTERY
Spain To Win World Cup Final
Under 2.5 Game

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORT GENIUS
5 UNIT NY Mets under 7 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PAUL THE OCTOPUS
Spain To Win World Cup

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Proffesional tipster 85-66-15 (1-0)

11.07.2010 International World Cup Spain - Netherlands Spain DNB

11.07.2010 International Friendly Steaua Bucharest - Ferencvaros Steaua DNB

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sampicks 41-26-3 (1-0)

SPAIN - NETHERLANDS take SPAIN 0,-0.5
Bet365 odds: 1.77
Best odds: 1.83 Pinnacle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RW Sports 89-83-14 (yesterday no soccer bet)

spain to win world cup, 1.57 @ william hill

the next bet is a hedge to lock in profit on our holland futurebet which was holland to win world cup, @ 8.00

holland - spain, number of goals: 2, 3.40 @ bet365

holland - spain, spain 1-0, 6.50 @ ladbrokes

holland - spain, 1st half under 0.75 goals, 1.95 @ bet365

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Betting Pros 3-0 (1-0)

Spain v.s Holland - Back Spain (current odds = 2.12)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

"Bulgarian Paid service"

Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk:bet on Shamrock@1,75
Alta IF - Moss FK,bet on Alta 0, -0.5 @1.775(bet 365)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GREEK SPORTS PICKS

Take the Washington Nationals -115 and Spain tomorrow in the World cup Final as these are our Bonus Plays. <!-- / message --> <!-- controls -->